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Hyper Tension

The iPhone 17 is the 19th generation of iPhone. The Pro Max is the 50th iPhone model and the 2TB version is the 158th variant, not including color variations. The table showing all the previous variants, models and generations is shown below.

Config #Model #GenerationYear of launchModelMemory (GB)
1112007iPhone4
2112007iPhone8
3112007iPhone16
42220083G8
52220083G16
63320093GS8
73320093GS16
83320093GS32
944201048
10442010416
11442010432
125520114S8
135520114S16
145520114S32
155520114S64
16662012516
17662012532
18662012564
197720135C8
207720135C16
217720135C32
228720135S16
238720135S32
248720135S64
25972013SE16
26972013SE32
27972013SE64
28972013SE128
291082014616
301082014664
3110820146128
3211820146 Plus16
3311820146 Plus32
3411820146 Plus64
3512920156S16
3612920156S32
3712920156S64
3812920156S128
3913920156S Plus16
4013920156S Plus32
4113920156S Plus64
4213920156S Plus128
4314102016732
44141020167128
45141020167256
46151020167 Plus32
47151020167 Plus128
48151020167 Plus256
4916112017864
50161120178128
51161120178256
52171120178 Plus64
53171120178 Plus128
54171120178 Plus256
5518122018X64
5618122018X256
5719122018Xr64
5819122018Xr128
5919122018Xr256
6020122018Xs64
6120122018Xs256
6220122018Xs512
6321122018Xs Max64
6421122018Xs Max256
6521122018Xs Max512
66221320191164
672213201911128
682213201911256
692313201911 Pro64
702313201911 Pro256
712313201911 Pro512
722413201911 Pro Max64
732413201911 Pro Max256
742413201911 Pro Max512
7525142020SE64
7625142020SE128
7725142020SE256
782614202012 mini64
792614202012 mini128
802614202012 mini256
81271420201264
822714202012128
832714202012256
842814202012 Pro128
852814202012 Pro256
862814202012 Pro512
872914202012 Pro Max128
882914202012 Pro Max256
892914202012 Pro Max512
903015202113 mini128
913015202113 mini256
923015202113 mini512
933115202113128
943115202113256
953115202113512
963215202113 Pro128
973215202113 Pro256
983215202113 Pro512
993215202113 Pro1024
1003315202113 Pro Max128
1013315202113 Pro Max256
1023315202113 Pro Max512
1033315202113 Pro Max1024
1043416202214 Pro 128
1053416202214 Pro 256
1063416202214 Pro 512
1073416202214 Pro 1000
1083516202214 Pro Max128
1093516202214 Pro Max256
1103516202214 Pro Max512
1113516202214 Pro Max1024
1123616202214128
1133616202214256
1143616202214512
1153716202214 Plus128
1163716202214 Plus256
1173716202214 Plus512
1183817202315 Pro 128
1193817202315 Pro 256
1203817202315 Pro 512
1213817202315 Pro 1024
1223917202315 Pro Max256
1233917202315 Pro Max512
1243917202315 Pro Max1000
1254017202315128
1264017202315256
1274017202315512
1284117202315 Plus128
1294117202315 Plus256
1304117202315 Plus512
1314218202416 Pro128
1324218202416 Pro256
1334218202416 Pro512
1344218202416 Pro1024
1354318202416 Pro Max256
1364318202416 Pro Max512
1374318202416 Pro Max1024
1384418202416128
1394418202416256
1404418202416512
1414518202416 Plus128
1424518202416 Plus256
1434518202416 Plus512
1444618202416e128
1454618202416e256
1464618202416e512
1474719202517256
1484719202517512
14948192025Air256
15048192025Air512
15148192025Air1024
1524919202517 Pro256
1534919202517 Pro512
1544919202517 Pro1024
1555019202517 Pro Max256
1565019202517 Pro Max512
1575019202517 Pro Max1024
1585019202517 Pro Max2048

Each of these models had a starting price (unlocked, US Apple store price in USD, before taxes, subsidies, etc.) The price and duration of sales period are shown in the following diagram (click on picture for full-size view.)

The eye is naturally drawn to the upper right corner where the new top-of-the-line iPhone 17 Pro Max 2TB variant is priced at $1999. This is not unexpected as the introduction of higher memory or “Pro” variants has broadened the upper end of the price range in a more-or-less regular cadence. Historically these increases were every three years but we’ve now gone four without a jump.

However, the delay is made up for by a significantly higher gap up. Only in 2018, with the launch of the Xs, did we see as significant a jump ($400) as we did today. Unlike in 2018, there are no other variants filling the gap. There is no $1899 iPhone or a $1799 or $1699 either. The next model is the 17 Pro Max 1TB at $1599. It also happens to be the same price as the 16 Pro Max 1TB, as indeed all the other 16->17 upgrades kept the same price.

The price “slots” are all filled nicely including with the typical decrease in price by $100 for year-old variants, the 16 Plus 256, 16 Plus 128 and 16 128. Since the SE was withdrawn last spring, the entry point for a new iPhone is down to $599, now the “floor” of the price band.

And so the “stairway to heaven”, as this graph came to be known persists. It’s a graduate level thesis on pricing which speaks volumes on pricing power, especially relative to the Android alternatives and to almost every other consumer electronics category. I won’t repeat the observations made about this pattern over the years but I will say that the point Apple wishes to make is that if you want an iPhone, there is one at every price you can afford, and used ones are still available well below the floor new iPhones sell at. By stretching the band upward, it provides greater storage and more functions bundled to those who really need it.

However, one problem with this graph is that it does not account for inflation. Taking the month of June 2025 (the last for which data is available,) the adjustment for 2007 is 1.53. In other words prices now are are 53% more expensive (as are wages, mostly). If we were to present the pricing data at constant June 2007 dollars, it would look like this:

Note that I am showing the unadjusted and adjusted graphs next to each other so that a comparison can be made at a glance. The density of the data does not permit the labeling of the adjusted graph in its entirety and the hundreds of lines needed cannot be made consistent in color across the two graphs.

Nonetheless, the inflation adjusted data is startling. Excluding the 2TB outlier, the inflation adjusted graph is peaking at around $1000 with the median below $700. Shockingly, that median is almost exactly the same as the iPhone 3G’s launch price of 2008 and one can visually trace a line across the whole graph maintaining this average selling price to the present. The outlier $1999 2025 iPhone would be a $1300 2007 price point. Not cheap but it exceeds in storage and performance any laptop costing $4000 back then.

From its inception, the iPhone was labeled “expensive”, “exclusive” or “premium,” somehow not for everyone. But 3 billion sold and 1.5 billion users later this is obviously wrong. It is very much a mainstream product. Almost 1 in 5 human beings on the planet are using it [although it be the wealthiest 20%]. But it did not get there by lowering prices. Not even for those living in countries with far lower income levels. It got there by keeping prices steady while improving performance exponentially and adding new measures of performance that nobody asked for but everyone wanted.

There is something quite extraordinary about this product. And it’s not anywhere near being done improving. It still elicits an increase in heartbeat and a dilation of the pupils. I always said it’s in the market for hormones.

Speaking of, the same price band analysis can be applied to the iPad, Mac, and AirPods. Not yet to the Vision Pro, which tells you something. But the Watch, that’s another classic segmentation story. Now it seems to be ready to diagnose the rise in blood pressure you’re likely to get by looking at these graphs.


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