Global Horizons | September 14-16, 2026

Registration Opens

Opening Drinks Reception

Dinner at Christ Church

7:15 PM - 9:30 PM BST

Dinner will be held at Christ Church.

Breakfast

7:30 AM - 8:45 AM BST

Welcome Remarks

8:45 AM BST

A Conversation with a Senior National Security Official

9:00 AM - 9:30 AM BST

The Changing Nature of Force

9:30 AM - 10:00 AM BST

Resort to force over diplomacy is growing globally. Conflicts from Ukraine to Iran have shown the possibility for asymmetric innovation in warfare but also highlighted the limitations of force alone in securing decisive outcomes.This session will look at what lessons alliances like NATO should be learning and assess what competitors to the West, like China, are likely to conclude about the place of force in their geopolitical strategies. It will also examine the strains modern conflict is placing on the international humanitarian system.

Keith Blount

Royal Navy Vice Admiral, Former Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe (DSACEUR)
NATO (2023-2026)

Morgane Caujolle

Deputy Head of Trends and Analysis Unit
International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)

Adam Ward

Managing Editor
Oxford Analytica

Breakout Sessions 1

10:15 AM - 11:20 AM BST

• Steering Global Economy Through Systemic Risk
• North America: The Midterms And Beyond
• MENA at Crossroads
• Latin America's new geopolitical reality
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Between Risk and Opportunity
• An Indo-Pacific Outlook: Regional Dynamics and Challenges
• Forecasting the Future: Scenario Planning

Networking Break

11:20 AM - 11:55 AM BST

Breakout Sessions 2

11:55 AM - 1:00 PM BST

• Europe and Eurasia: Forever War?
• Digital Sovereignty: Redefining Relationships
• Forecasting the Future: Scenario Planning
• Latin America's new geopolitical reality
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Between Risk and Opportunity
• An Indo-Pacific Outlook: Regional Dynamics and Challenges
• Decarbonisation’s Many Pathways

Lunch

1:00 PM - 2:00 PM BST

Breakout Sessions 3

2:10 PM - 3:20 PM BST

• Steering Global Economy Through Systemic Risk
• Europe and Eurasia: Forever War?
• Digital Sovereignty: Redefining Relationships
• China: The Next Five Years
• Forecasting the Future: Scenario Planning
• Decarbonisation’s Many Pathways
• North America: The Midterms And Beyond

Networking Break

3:20 PM - 3:50 PM BST

Breakout Sessions 4

3:50 PM - 5:00 PM BST

• MENA at Crossroads
• Europe and Eurasia: Forever War?
• Digital Sovereignty: Redefining Relationships
• Latin America's new geopolitical reality
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Between Risk and Opportunity
• An Indo-Pacific Outlook: Regional Dynamics and Challenges
• China: The Next Five Years

Dinner and Drinks

6:00 PM - 10:00 PM BST

Dinner will be held at Blenheim Palace, Woodstock OX20 1PS. Transport to the venue will be provided.

Breakfast

7:30 AM - 8:45 AM BST

Welcome and Plenary Sessions

9:00 AM - 9:50 AM BST

Networking Break

9:50 AM - 10:10 AM BST

Breakout Sessions 5

10:10 AM - 11:20 AM BST

• Steering Global Economy Through Systemic Risk
• North America: The Midterms And Beyond
• MENA at Crossroads
• China: The Next Five Years
• Forecasting the Future: Scenario Planning
• Decarbonisation’s Many Pathways
• Europe and Eurasia: Forever War?

Networking Break

11:20 AM - 11:50 AM BST

Breakout Sessions 6

11:50 AM - 1:00 PM BST

• Steering Global Economy Through Systemic Risk
• North America: The Midterms And Beyond
• MENA at Crossroads
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Between Risk and Opportunity
• China: The Next Five Years
• An Indo-Pacific Outlook: Regional Dynamics and Challenges
• Forecasting the Future: Scenario Planning

Lunch

1:00 PM - 2:00 PM BST

Breakout Sessions 7

2:15 PM - 3:25 PM BST

• Steering Global Economy Through Systemic Risk
• North America: The Midterms And Beyond
• MENA at Crossroads
• Europe and Eurasia: Forever War?
• Digital Sovereignty: Redefining Relationships
• Decarbonisation’s Many Pathways
• Latin America's New Geopolitical Reality

Networking Break

3:25 PM - 3:50 PM BST

Plenary Sessions

3:50 PM - 5:30 PM BST

Closing Ceremony

Drinks Reception and Dinner

6:00 PM - 9:30 PM BST

There will be a drinks reception, followed by dinner at Ashmolean Museum, Beaumont St, Oxford OX1 2PH.

Breakfast

7:30 AM - 8:45 AM BST

There will be an optional breakfast before check out.

Check out by 10:00 AM BST

All attendees must check out by 10:00 AM BST.

Steering Global Economy Through Systemic Risk

The global economy has not been derailed by the US-Iran war and energy market disruption, but the resilience has been far from uniform. The panel will consider the outlook for the global economy and its major regional constituents against the backdrop of the wars, other geopolitical tensions, the disruption to energy and other markets, the high US tariffs and use of industrial policy globally, the upcoming U.S. midterms, the rising spread of AI, and how governments and central banks can respond as pressures on them mount.

Hong Bo

Professor, Financial Economics
SOAS University of London

Ed Frankl

Economics Reporter
The Wall Street Journal

Paul Hannon

Economics Editor
The Wall Street Journal

Erik Lundh

Senior Global Economist
The Conference Board

Sarah Fowler

Senior Analyst, International Economy
Oxford Analytica

North America: The Midterms And Beyond

With November’s congressional elections set to offer a snapshot of voter sentiment that will help define the political landscape for 2028 presidential campaigning, we will look at how both parties are positioning themselves to attract an electorate that may be less polarised than it appears. We will also consider the impact of tariffs and other policies at home and abroad, and consider Canada as a test case for what an effective response to Washington may look like.

Susan-Mary Grant

Professor of American History
Newcastle University

Paul Maidment

Principal
Bystander Media

Christopher Sands

Lecturer and Director of the Center for Canadian Studies
The Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Giles Alston

Senior Analyst, North America and Australasia. Product Head, Global Risk Monitor
Oxford Analytica

Latin America's New Geopolitical Reality

Following Washington’s January intervention in Venezuela and a string of right-of-centre election wins in Latin America, the geopolitical balance appears to be shifting, with Brazil and Mexico now the only two major outliers on the centre-left. The panel will assess the durability of this change, the obstacles to US efforts to marginalise China’s regional clout (which go far beyond ideology) and the future of economic relations amid U.S. tariffs and USMCA trade talks.

Julia Buxton

Professor of Justice
Liverpool John Moores University

Emma Campos-Redman

Senior Associate, Americas
Dragonfly

Mahrukh Doctor

Professor of Comparative Political Economy, School of Politics & International Studies
University of Hull

Phil Paterson

Senior Analyst, Latin America
Oxford Analytica

Jill Hedges

Deputy Director and Senior Analyst, Latin America, Analysis
Oxford Analytica

MENA at Crossroads

The session will assess how the Middle East is changing in response to the Iran war. We will look at current and future conflicts; changing dynamics in the Gulf, North Africa and the Levant; and the impact of Israel’s October elections. Beyond the politics, panellists and participants will discuss the implications for energy markets, shipping routes and regional supply chains, as well as the key dynamics for businesses to watch.

Riccardo Fabiani

Director, North Africa Project
International Crisis Group

Edmund Herzig

Professor of Persian Studies
University of Oxford

Dr. Neil Quilliam

Partner, Azure Strategy; Associate Fellow, MENA Programme
Chatham House

Laura James

Deputy Director and Senior Analyst, Middle East
Oxford Analytica

Sub-Saharan Africa: Between Risk and Opportunity

The Africa session will address key political, economic and security-related issues across the continent. This includes the wider impact of the Iran war and the shifting constellation of ties with outside powers. It will also examine serious regional security crises such as tensions in the Horn, the Sudanese civil war and jihadist insurgencies across West Africa and the Sahel. Electoral politics in Nigeria, South Africa and elsewhere will also be on the table.

David Anderson

Professor, African History
University of Warwick

Weyinmi Omamuli

Senior Economic Advisor
UNDP Tanzania

Chris O. Ogunmodede

Consultant and Analyst of African Politics
Security & International Relations

Matt Ward

Deputy Director and Senior Analyst, Africa
Oxford Analytica

Europe and Eurasia: Forever War?

In the Eurasia panel, we will explore the main issues which will define the region’s politics and economies over the coming years. We will discuss the current dynamics on the Ukrainian battlefield and examine which side holds the momentum as the conflict soon enters its sixth year, taking into account domestic politics and economic factors in both states. We will also assess how upcoming elections in Poland, France, Italy and Spain, as well as the fragility of Germany’s national coalition, could affect EU cohesion and policies.

Dimitar Bechev

Director, Dahrendorf Programme on Europe in a Changing World, St Antony's College, University of Oxford; Senior Fellow
Carnegie Europe

Charles Hecker

Associate Fellow
Royal United Services Institute

Mak Kasapovic

Analyst, Eastern Europe
Oxford Analytica

Dafne Ter-Sakarian

Senior Analyst, Russia and Eurasia
Oxford Analytica

Niall Walsh

Analyst, Western Europe
Oxford Analytica

China: The Next Five Years

The session will focus on the main geopolitical and geoeconomic questions confronting China in 2026 and looking towards 2027: what Beijing’s behaviour during the U.S.-Iran war reveals about its geopolitical calculus; the prospects for Taiwan relations; and the outlook for stable U.S. trade relations and the avoidance of a trade war with the EU. On the domestic front, we will consider the prospects for achieving the headline goals of the latest Five Year Plan and the more immediate GDP growth prospects, given increasing signs of a bifurcated economy.

Rogier Creemers

Lecturer, Law and Governance of China
Leiden University

James Crabtree

Geopolitical Analyst and Author

Natalie Mrockova

Visiting Professor at the University of Oxford; Independent Consultant

Adam Ward

Managing Editor
Oxford Analytica

An Indo-Pacific Outlook: Regional Dynamics and Challenges

This session will consider the varied and complex challenges facing countries across the Indo-Pacific. In addition to exploring domestic politics in South Asia, South-east Asia and much of East Asia, we will assess how regional states are interacting with each other and extra-regional powers. Key issues for discussion will include policy responses to the economic headwinds that abound and relations between the U.S. and its many partners and allies in the region.

Carlo Bonura

Reader in Southeast Asian Politics
University of London

Aidan Foster-Carter

Honorary Senior Research Fellow in Sociology and Modern Korea
Leeds University

Ian Neary

Emeritus Fellow, Nissan Institute and St Antony’s College
Oxford University

Avinash Paliwal

Reader in International Relations
SOAS University of London

Joydeep Sen

Deputy Director and Senior Analyst, Asia Pacific
Oxford Analytica

Forecasting the Future: Scenario Planning

Did your organisation anticipate the Hormuz crisis? If not, you are far from alone. Many of the events that will transform our security, businesses and everyday lives cannot be readily predicted, but they can be foreseen. In this workshop, hosted by our Advisory team, collaborate with peers and expert practitioners to explore what challenges or crises could lie ahead, and what you could do now to be better prepared.

Richard Robinson

Deputy Director of Advisory
Oxford Analytica

Benjamin Charlton

Senior Manager
Oxford Analytica

Digital Sovereignty: Redefining Relationships

Digital sovereignty has emerged as a key priority as governments grapple with growing uncertainty over access to U.S. and Chinese technologies amid the intensifying strategic rivalry between the two powers. Efforts to assert control over AI, data and digital infrastructure are increasing regulatory divergence and digital fragmentation. This panel will explore what digital sovereignty means in practice, and how its pursuit impacts businesses, innovation and access to cross-border digital services.

Lucas Kello

Associate Professor of International Relations
Oxford University

Louise Marie Hurel

Research Fellow, Cyber and Technology
Royal United Services Institute

Eduardo Plastino

Consultant

Tatia Bolkvadze

Analyst, Cybersecurity and Technology
Oxford Analytica

Decarbonisation’s Many Pathways

While the power sector is on track to decarbonise by the mid-to-late-2030s, hard-to-abate sectors such as steel, petrochemicals and shipping still lack commercially viable technologies to reduce emissions at scale. The energy transition also remains uneven across regions, and is increasingly shaped by geopolitical tensions and supply chain security concerns. This session explores the intersection of decarbonisation, politics and industry, the longer-term trajectory of the transition, and how businesses can navigate risks and opportunities.

Jenny Paurys

SVP, Head of Research
Dow Jones Energy

Ross McCracken

Freelance Energy Analyst

Stina Warnstam Drolet

Deputy Director and Head of Sustainability
Oxford Analytica

Dow Jones Global Horizons

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CONTACT

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