University of Exeter

The future of midlatitude cyclones

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posted on 2025-08-01, 08:03 authored by JL Catto, D Ackerley, JF Booth, AJ Champion, BA Colle, S Pfahl, JG Pinto, JF Quinting, C Seiler
Purpose of Review This review brings together recent research on the structure, characteristics, dynamics, and impacts of extratropical cyclones in the future. It draws on research using idealized models and complex climate simulations, to evaluate what is known and unknown about these future changes. Recent Findings There are interacting processes that contribute to the uncertainties in future extratropical cyclone changes, e.g., changes in the horizontal and vertical structure of the atmosphere and increasing moisture content due to rising temperatures. Summary While precipitation intensity will most likely increase, along with associated increased latent heating, it is unclear to what extent and for which particular climate conditions this will feedback to increase the intensity of the cyclones. Future research could focus on bridging the gap between idealized models and complex climate models, as well as better understanding of the regional impacts of future changes in extratropical cyclones.

Funding

NE/S004645/1

Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)

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© The Author(s) 2019. Open Access: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were mad

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This is the final version. Available from the publisher via the DOI in this record.

Journal

Current Climate Change Reports

Publisher

Springer

Version

  • Version of Record

Language

en

FCD date

2019-11-21T11:11:27Z

FOA date

2019-11-21T11:15:33Z

Citation

Published Online 15 November 2019

Department

  • Mathematics and Statistics

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