The future of midlatitude cyclones
journal contribution
posted on 2025-08-01, 08:03 authored by JL Catto, D Ackerley, JF Booth, AJ Champion, BA Colle, S Pfahl, JG Pinto, JF Quinting, C SeilerPurpose of Review This review brings together recent research on the structure, characteristics, dynamics, and impacts of
extratropical cyclones in the future. It draws on research using idealized models and complex climate simulations, to evaluate
what is known and unknown about these future changes.
Recent Findings There are interacting processes that contribute to the uncertainties in future extratropical cyclone changes, e.g.,
changes in the horizontal and vertical structure of the atmosphere and increasing moisture content due to rising temperatures.
Summary While precipitation intensity will most likely increase, along with associated increased latent heating, it is unclear to
what extent and for which particular climate conditions this will feedback to increase the intensity of the cyclones. Future research
could focus on bridging the gap between idealized models and complex climate models, as well as better understanding of the
regional impacts of future changes in extratropical cyclones.
Funding
NE/S004645/1
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
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© The Author(s) 2019. Open Access: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were madNotes
This is the final version. Available from the publisher via the DOI in this record.External DOI
Journal
Current Climate Change ReportsPublisher
SpringerVersion
- Version of Record
Language
enFCD date
2019-11-21T11:11:27ZFOA date
2019-11-21T11:15:33ZCitation
Published Online 15 November 2019Department
- Mathematics and Statistics
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