Friday, June 6th 2025

Intel Sets 50% Gross Margin Goal for Every New Product Before Production
Intel's tale of financial difficulties has been told for many quarters now, and the company is slowly paving the way to profitability through workforce reduction, new aggressive product roadmaps, and, as of now, a 50% gross margin requirement before entering production. At Bank of America's global technology conference, Intel Products CEO Michelle Johnston Holthaus noted that CEO Lip-Bu Tan is "laser-focused on the fact that we need to get our gross margins back up above 50%." Explaining the reasoning behind this decision, MJH added that it is "something that we probably should have had before, but we have it now so that product doesn't move forward; you actually don't get engineers assigned to it if it's not 50% or higher gross margins moving forward."
Interestingly, this means that every new product will now go into evaluation of profitability first, unlike the "build it and they will (hopefully) come" philosophy, which cost Intel many billions of R&D just to enter new markets without a solid financial plan. MJH also added about 50% gross margin expectation:" So I think our future products can all get there, I think really what it comes down to is you have to have a lot of discipline in your product life cycle planning to build products from day one that hit that and so there's a lot of things that I talked about when we talked about Lip-Bu coming on board of getting our OpEx and our CapEx in line, getting the types of products that we're going to build in alignment, really understanding market and ASPs." This means that upcoming Panther Lake, 18A node HVM, Clearwater Forest Xeons, Xe3/Xe4 Arc GPUs, and Jaguar Shores AI accelerators all carry a gross margin of 50% or more, making them viable for Intel and sustainable in the long run.
Source:
BofA Transcript
Interestingly, this means that every new product will now go into evaluation of profitability first, unlike the "build it and they will (hopefully) come" philosophy, which cost Intel many billions of R&D just to enter new markets without a solid financial plan. MJH also added about 50% gross margin expectation:" So I think our future products can all get there, I think really what it comes down to is you have to have a lot of discipline in your product life cycle planning to build products from day one that hit that and so there's a lot of things that I talked about when we talked about Lip-Bu coming on board of getting our OpEx and our CapEx in line, getting the types of products that we're going to build in alignment, really understanding market and ASPs." This means that upcoming Panther Lake, 18A node HVM, Clearwater Forest Xeons, Xe3/Xe4 Arc GPUs, and Jaguar Shores AI accelerators all carry a gross margin of 50% or more, making them viable for Intel and sustainable in the long run.
27 Comments on Intel Sets 50% Gross Margin Goal for Every New Product Before Production
For a lot of adjacent or side stuff Intel did in past couple decades this does make sense but in current situation with their main product lines where they are at a disadvantage do they really have capability to aim for 50% and no less? CPUs have been profitable, just not that much, and have subsidised the Foundry that is their loss leader for today.
If Intel has gotten their ducks in line, 18A to work and scale properly then maybe...
Well played, Intel, well played. So what you didn't have for decades, you now suddenly have in every upcoming product line? And the end result is you keep pooping out chips like nobody's business on rather similar game plans?
ROFL. Do they put copium in those water chillers now?
If Intel actually operationally adheres to this, it is the (re-)beginning of the end for them. They fundamentally misunderstand how hardware businesses at that scale work. This will be innovator's dilemma on steroids in the bad way.
Back to the bean counter days except with someone who apparently doesn't know how to count beans.
I don't think it is a bad approach at all. nvidia's GPM for last year was 75%, and AMD was exactly 50% - so I don't see why Intel setting 50% as a baseline is egregious at all. If anything, they need their GPM to be much higher than 50% because they need to constantly spend on foundry as well, until the point (and if) that business becomes self-sustaining. R&D expense does not figure into GPM calculations. GPM is only about cost of goods (i.e. variable or per-unit cost, not fixed costs), and sale price.
The message here is that Intel is excusing itself for a price increase, despite a complete stagnation in product offerings. And they sell that to shareholders/investors by talking about margin estimates that are better than what they had.
In the meantime, they just do what they've always done. There are what, 3-4 product lines upcoming? And they're all going to sell? On what exactly? They haven't delivered jack shit.
This is nothing other than a weak excuse for what we see everywhere; profit go up, with the excuse of vastly more costly nodes and production processes. A function of high demand more than anything else. Intel is just telling us they want a piece of that pie. It has nothing to do with their products at all.
If Intel still has the talent to deliver such products remains to be seen.
These business geniuses over at Intel just crack me up.
I think this rules out most of their current and future products. Imagine the revenue with no more items that don't bring at least 50% margins! ("But we're not selling anything now?")...
The end of x86 PC might happen like that - with everybody chasing those lucrative server AI deals and abandoning everything else that doesn't bring those margins (neither will AI, once this bubble deflates or bursts).
Does not mean the end result is 50% margin on everything, after all rosy predictions, lower price later in the lifecycle, it's about setting a goal for new products.
You need to be crazy to win and go for broke. Plugging numbers into a margin math formula won’t work.
Come on Intel…GET CRAZY!!!
Or
You
Are
Done.
Intel can set its margin goals all it wants, but at the end of the day, if you have to undercut your competitor's price for having worse products, that strategy goes out the window.
It'll also be hard to gain share with that profitability requirement as well. Gaining marketshare frequently requires a company to lower prices.
Nvidia's gross margin is 75% because they have a monopoly over AI market and a near one in the gaming gpu market. It's not a good metric to use to then say Intel's 50% figure is reasonable given their current position in the market. 50% is very good for a company that has innovated and is riding that innovation. That is not Intel right now, Intel is in between S-curves and needs a major innovation to start a new S-Curve. 20 - 30% gross margins should be acceptable to gain share and pretty standard when you see a company wanting to catch up. You cannot demand innovator or market leader margins when you are neither.
I know Intel wasted a bunch of resources pursing adjacent markets like wireless adapters, Nuc, etc but that's due to a lack of leadership. A 50% gross margin requirement is no replacement for a good leader that knows what opportunities to pounce on and what not to. This is just a bean counter approach to what should be a calculated leadership decision. If Intel wants 50% or better margins, it should focus on innovating. Wanting them for doing nothing isn't going to get them anywhere, that's seemingly just a different rationalization for what they've already been doing the last 14 years. Intel's GPUs were always going to launch with less than 50% gross margins. It doesn't matter how talented the engineers are, you are talking entering a market where competitors have decades of experience and work baked into their drivers.
Cutting every product that doesn't shortly meet 50 gross margins is inane.
Kind of like how a few years ago Intel reduced emphasis on new nodes, EUV machines, and shipping products on 10nm because 14nm was so profitable.
The proof is in the pudding - there has been no real change in Intel's approach whatsoever.
The only reason I'm considering a Xeon 6 is that it is supported.
Otherwise a 9950x will do the same job at a quarter of the price.