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Dwarkesh Patel on X: "examples of what I mean https://t.co/A1J6evmXZ9"

@dwarkesh_sp
Dwarkesh Patel
@dwarkesh_sp
examples of what I mean ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
5:39 PM · Nov 21, 202380.7KViews
12

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  • @dwarkesh_sp
    Dwarkesh Patel
    @dwarkesh_sp
    Nov 21, 2023
    I still haven't heard a good answer to this question, on or off the podcast. AI researchers often tell me, "Don't worry bout it, scale solves this." But what is the rebuttal to someone who argues that this indicates a fundamental limitation?
    703
  • @dwarkesh_sp
    Dwarkesh Patel
    @dwarkesh_sp
    Nov 21, 2023
    Full episode, for those interested:
    @dwarkesh_sp
    Dwarkesh Patel
    @dwarkesh_sp
    Aug 8, 2023
    Here is my conversation with Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic. We discuss: - why human level AI is 2-3 years away - race dynamics with OpenAI & China - $10 billion training runs, bioterrorism, alignment, cyberattacks, scaling...
    00:00
    4
  • @dwarkesh_sp
    Dwarkesh Patel
    @dwarkesh_sp
    examples of what I mean ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
    5:39 PM · Nov 21, 202380.7KViews
    12
  • @dwarkesh_sp
    Dwarkesh Patel
    @dwarkesh_sp
    Nov 22, 2023
    Best answer so far:
    @ericjmichaud_
    Eric J. Michaud
    @ericjmichaud_
    Nov 21, 2023
    Replying to @dwarkesh_sp
    tl;dr: Maybe learning simple things (basic knowledge, heuristics, etc) actually lowers the loss more than learning sophisticated things (algorithms associated with higher cognition that we really care about), and the sophisticated things will eventually be learned as scaling
    7
  • @JoshKrook
    Joshua Krook
    @JoshKrook
    Nov 21, 2023
    These are prediction engines, which is why they can appear to think but also simultaneously don't think like us. A toddler can point out a bird in the sky, but the machine has to be trained to see it, even if it can tell that the colours are a bit different.
    1