GEOPOLITICAL RISKS AND ECONOMY
India plans to put large infra projects in fast lane
India is accelerating its infrastructure development with a focus on mega-projects like bullet trains, shipbuilding yards, and access-controlled highways, aligning with the Viksit Bharat 2047 vision. The government aims to boost economic growth through infrastructure creation, encouraging public-private partnerships to moderate spending. Ministries are directed to expedite project approvals, with a high-level committee reevaluating goals for faster clearances.
Golden visas for Indians: Amid changing rules and global uncertainty, golden visa calculations now include risk-hedging, estate planning, taxation
From EB-5 uncertainty to Portugal’s property ban, wealthy Indian families are rethinking their residency strategies as global rules tighten.
Gold fever: Will central banks keep driving the golden surge?
Central banks' increasing appetite for gold is significantly influencing its surge, driven by diversification from the dollar, inflation hedging, and geopolitical uncertainties. Gold has surpassed the euro in reserve portfolios, reflecting a shift from US Treasuries amid global economic instability. While purchases may fluctuate, the trend indicates a continued strategic role for gold in safeguarding national wealth.
FII activity, India-US trade deal among 7 factors that may impact D-Street action this week
Indian equity benchmarks wrapped up the week on a solid note, buoyed by strong domestic macroeconomic data and ongoing policy reforms. The Nifty gained 1.29% to settle at 24,741, while the Sensex climbed 1.13% to close at 80,710.
F&O Talk| Nifty stages pullback but lacks conviction; trend hinges on banking, IT revival: Sudeep Shah
Indian equity benchmarks closed the week positively due to strong economic data and policy reforms. Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities discussed the outlook for Nifty and Bank Nifty. Nifty faces resistance at 24950-25000 and support at 24550-24500. Bank Nifty is underperforming, with resistance at 54500-54600 and support at 53600-53500.
Wall Street’s wealth engine powers through job-market anxiety
Recent economic data reveals a concerning trend: job growth is slowing in America, impacting workers' financial security. However, investors anticipate the Federal Reserve will intervene to protect their assets. Despite a slight market dip, bonds have rallied, and equities remain near record highs.
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When the Dragon meets the Elephant: Building a win-win framework for both India and China
Following a five-year hiatus, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping met to recalibrate relations, emphasising stronger people-to-people ties and expanded trade. Addressing India's trade deficit is crucial, with potential for Chinese investment in Indian manufacturing. Collaboration in public health, tourism, education and infrastructure offers mutual benefits, requiring a clear road map for sustainable partnership.
RBI panel on financial stability reviews US tariff impact, financial inclusion efforts
The Financial Stability and Development Council convened to address potential economic challenges arising from US tariffs and geopolitical tensions. Discussions centered on simplifying KYC procedures and advancing financial inclusion initiatives outlined in the National Strategy for Financial Inclusion 2025-30. The council emphasized coordinated regulatory efforts to bolster financial sector resilience and closely monitor emerging risks.
US stock market: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rebound after days of downturn on weak jobs data as Fed rate cut bets grow
US stocks bounced back on Thursday as the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq rebounded after days of losses, lifted by weaker-than-expected jobs data that fueled fresh hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. The move came as investors also tracked Salesforce’s steep drop, American Eagle’s surprise rally, and Stephen Miran’s Fed confirmation hearing, keeping both Wall Street and Washington in sharp focus.
China exits its biggest Pakistan project: What's happening?
Pakistan seeks ADB funding for its railway network. This project was initially part of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. China withdrew due to financial concerns. ADB will now finance the Karachi-Rohri section. This shift reflects Pakistan's need for diversified partnerships. The Reko Diq mine development drives the urgency. Pakistan aims to balance relations with China and the West.
Think beyond the market’s GST rationalisation theme: 5 large-cap stocks from different sectors with an upside potential of up to 26%
There are short term themes which play in the market and then there are some stories which are long-term and structural in nature. So, if you are looking to invest from a perspective of more than the medium term, which is surely more than two years or so, ensure that, while you allocate some money to the theme of the street, you put a large part of the money in stocks where the operating matrix is such that the runaway of growth is much bigger and larger.
US stock market jolted: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq tumble as Big Tech reels from bond angst, tariff shock and soaring gold at September’s kickoff
US stock market slipped at September’s start as surging bond yields, new tariff shocks, and record gold prices weighed on Wall Street. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all fell, with Big Tech taking the hardest hit.
Gold touches record high above $3,500 amid anticipation of US interest rate cut
Gold prices briefly surged to a record high, exceeding $3,508 an ounce, driven by anticipation of US interest-rate cuts and anxieties surrounding the Federal Reserve's future. This rally, fueled by expectations of a subdued labor market and subsequent rate reductions, has significantly boosted gold's appeal as a haven asset.
Trump set bad cops on India. Are good cops out now?
The Trump administration seems to be softening its tone towards India. Initially, there were criticisms regarding trade and relations with Russia. Now, officials are emphasising the importance of the US-India partnership. This shift may be a strategic move. It aims to balance pressure with cooperation. The US possibly recognizes India's significance in countering China.
PM Modi calls out 'economic selfishness' of other nations; lauds India's GDP growth
Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Tuesday hailed India’s 7.8% GDP growth in Q1 FY26, saying the country has remained resilient amid global uncertainties and “economic selfishness.” He described the growth as broad-based and visible across all sectors, saying it strengthens India’s path to becoming the world’s third-largest economy.
Indian investors must look abroad for AI, semiconductors, EV themes: Vaibhav Shah of Mirae Asset
Vaibhav Shah of Mirae Asset Investment Managers (India) advocates for international diversification, citing limited domestic exposure to high-growth themes like AI and semiconductors. He highlights the potential for better risk-adjusted returns and currency diversification through global investments. The Mirae Asset Global Allocation Fund offers a strategic mix of developed and emerging market exposure, leveraging Mirae's global expertise.
Nifty extends its losing streak into August. Will GST talks, upbeat GDP, and Modi’s China visit break the slide?
Indian equities closed August with a second consecutive month of losses as Nifty fell 1.38%, pressured by U.S. tariff shocks, foreign fund outflows, and profit-taking. Despite this, strong GDP growth and upcoming GST reform talks provide potential buffers. Geopolitical developments, including Modi’s China visit, and domestic growth triggers will test whether markets can recover in September.
Charting the global economy: US consumers remain resilient, Indian exporters under pressure
American consumer spending saw a rise in July, driven by income growth despite high prices. Globally, economic landscapes are shifting. Germany faced rising inflation, while France grappled with political instability. China aimed for increased public welfare spending. South Korea's consumer confidence hit a seven-year high. Indian exporters sought government support amid US tariffs.
Mukesh Ambani urges Indian businesses to unite against global risks
Reliance Industries Chairman Mukesh Ambani urged Indian businesses to unite against external shocks, following increased US tariffs on Indian goods due to continued oil trade with Russia. Reliance, a major purchaser of Russian crude, faces potential impacts on sectors like textiles and chemicals.
Axis Mutual Fund's Karthik Kumar: Momentum is my contrarian bet for next 12 months
Axis MF’s Karthik Kumar expects momentum to emerge as a contrarian theme in the next year despite recent underperformance. He remains optimistic on NBFCs, consumer discretionary, renewables, and defence, while advising investors to diversify across styles amid policy and tariff uncertainties.
US stock market futures dip — Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq in holding pattern ahead of the PCE inflation report — top gainers, losers, gold and oil trends today
U.S. stock futures slipped on Friday as investors turned cautious ahead of the crucial PCE inflation report, a release that could shape the Federal Reserve’s next rate move. With Wall Street fresh off record highs, the market is pausing to reassess risk as tech earnings disappoint and traders weigh the chances of a September rate cut.
India's 'dead economy' delivers GDP shock to Trump
India's economy defies US tariffs with a robust 7.8% GDP surge in Q1 FY26, showcasing resilience against global headwinds. This growth, a five-quarter high, undermines Trump's dismissive remarks and highlights the strength of India's domestic demand. The tariff strategy risks alienating a key ally and pushing India towards alternative economic partnerships.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| FIIs shift from largecaps to midcaps as ‘smart money’ bets on domestic growth, says Kedar Kadam
Indian equities are experiencing a shift as FIIs reallocate capital from large-caps to small and mid-cap stocks, driven by confidence in India's domestic growth story. Experts suggest focusing on consumption, financial services, and infrastructure sectors amid GST reforms and trade talks.
Asian stocks mixed as investors await key US inflation data
Asian equities showed mixed performance as investors awaited a key US inflation report. US stocks reached a new high after strong economic data eased recession fears but also fueled concerns about persistent inflation. The market anticipates potential Fed rate cuts, influenced by economic indicators and geopolitical factors like the Russia-Ukraine situation, impacting commodity prices.
Amid Trump tariff turmoil, why's the Indian consumer upbeat?
Despite potential economic headwinds from increased US tariffs, India's consumer market is projected to remain strong through 2025 and 2026. Robust household spending is expected, driven by low inflation, rising incomes, and a resilient labor market. Improving consumer confidence across both urban and rural areas further supports this positive outlook, indicating a broad-based and sustainable recovery.
How a slighted Trump scuttled India-US deal
Under Donald Trump's second term, tariffs have become a tool for geopolitical coercion, not economic optimization. Trump scuttled a near-final India-US trade deal after India declined a White House visit alongside Pakistan's leader. He also threatened tariffs on Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and the EU for various political reasons.
Tariff shock hits Indian stocks: Where should investors put money now?
India’s economy faces new headwinds from US tariffs, but experts see opportunities amid the turbulence. A weaker rupee may aid exporters, while IT and defence-linked firms could benefit from policy support. Investors are advised to avoid knee-jerk reactions, focus on strong company fundamentals, and prioritise global diversification to cushion portfolios against trade and currency shocks.
India withstanding global trade shocks despite tariff pressure, but risks remain: FinMin Monthly Review
In July 2025, India's economy remained stable despite global trade challenges. Domestic demand and strong fundamentals supported growth. The government addressed tariff shocks with trade agreements like the India-UK pact. Economic activity was upbeat with record e-way bill generation and PMI growth. Inflation cooled, offering policy support. India's resilience was boosted by a sovereign rating upgrade and planned reforms.
From gloom to opportunity: CXOs told to harness AI, hedge tariffs at ET WLF
ET WLF 2025: Global strategists advise C-suite executives to navigate tariff challenges by strategically choosing investment destinations, particularly focusing on "new Asia" like India and Southeast Asian countries. They emphasize the importance of embracing AI and other technological advancements to enhance efficiency in a slower growth world.
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