WEEKLY EXPIRY ANALYSIS
Anand James’ weekly market playbook: Nifty, autos, and stocks on his radar
Anand James from Geojit Investments analyzes Nifty's new expiry, noting high contract volumes and volatility. He observes FII shorts capping gains despite GST optimism and DII bullishness. Auto sector's rally may face profit booking, while M&M remains bullish. Top stock picks for the week are TDPOWERYS and FIRSTCRY, with specific targets and stop-loss levels.
Jane Street blindsides Sebi in fight over India trades
Jane Street has appealed against the Securities and Exchange Board of India's (SEBI) order regarding market manipulation. The US firm claims it was denied access to crucial documents. Jane Street also argues that SEBI's surveillance department previously found no evidence of manipulation. The appeal has increased tensions between Jane Street and SEBI. It also raises questions about SEBI's internal processes.
These large- and mid-cap stocks can give more than 24% return in 1 year, according to analysts
As some sectors and industries start to feel the impact of the increased tariffs, the chances are that, in the near term, all the street narrative will centre on this. But make a distinction between reality and narrative. We are not saying that there will be no impact. But the fact is that some amount of exaggeration is to be expected as an industry seeks favours from the government and hopes to extract some relief. So, remain balanced when consuming information. Just to put this in perspective: Does it make sense to sell HDFC Bank because of the tariff? Certainly not. So think rationally before taking any decision.
Explained: Jane Street, retail losses and Sebi’s crackdown
Sebi's study reveals retail traders in equity derivatives lost ₹1.05 lakh crore in FY25, a 41% increase from the previous year. Simultaneously, Sebi issued an interim order against Jane Street for allegedly manipulating India's stock indices, specifically Bank Nifty, to profit from equity derivative bets. The firm allegedly manipulated share prices and futures on expiry days to influence option values.
Jane Street probe: Sebi chief Tuhin Kanta Pandey rules out weekly expiry ban, signals tighter derivatives watch
Sebi is tightening surveillance on the derivatives market following allegations against Jane Street for manipulating index levels, but it is not currently planning to curb weekly index expiries. The regulator is focused on protecting retail investors and upgrading its surveillance tools to prevent market distortion.
Jane Street vs Sebi case places Rs 6 lakh crore multibagger corner of Dalal Street on edge
Sebi’s action against Jane Street has shaken India’s Rs 6.2 lakh crore capital market infra. While the immediate impact seems limited, concerns loom over future derivatives volumes, broker earnings, and HFT participation. Key expiries this week will test market resilience.
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These large- and mid-cap stocks can give more than 23% return in 1 year, according to analysts
The market has phases where one set of stocks tends to attract more attention than others. This may not be based on industry or sector, it may depend on market cap. For example, when the correction started in October 2024, it was large-cap stocks that witnessed strong selling. Then came a phase in January-February 2025 when large-caps stabilized and small- and mid-cap stocks saw strong selling. Now, we have reached a stage where there is no clear trend. There is a reason for this. And probably the situation will remain so for the near future.
How to trade Nifty after US bombs Iran? Rupak De shares his playbook
Amid Middle East tensions, Nifty is struggling around 25,000. Rupak De suggests a 'buy on dips' strategy above 24,850. NSE option traders will adjust strategies with expiry day changes. BSE options may capture post-policy moves better. A catch-up rally is expected in mid and smallcaps.
F&O Radar: Deploy Bull Call Ladder in Nifty to benefit from positive bias, rangebound index
Nifty has shown strength, closing above 25,000 for four days straight. Experts suggest a Bull Call Ladder strategy. Immediate resistance is seen at 25,200. A slight volatility bounce is expected. Maximum profit for the strategy is achievable if Nifty ends between 25,200 and 25,300. The upper breakeven point is 25,352.75. Traders should note this level as a potential stop loss.
BSE@150: Primary goal is to deepen and broaden the market; attract 500 FPIs: Sundararaman Ramamurthy
BSE is focusing on market expansion. They plan to increase brokers to 800 and data center racks to 500. The exchange also aims to attract 500 Foreign Portfolio Investors. Efforts are underway to distribute trading volumes throughout the week. BSE will promote monthly contracts, especially for the bank index. This move aims to reduce the focus on expiry-day trading.
Sebi's F&O de-addiction campaign throws up an unlikely winner - BSE
With Sebi's crackdown on derivatives affecting NSE, BSE is gaining market share in F&O. Sebi's new rules limit weekly options to one benchmark index, reducing NSE's options volumes. BSE, with fewer index contracts, benefits as its share price rose over 7% to Rs 2,607 on Wednesday.
Sebi proposes measures to curb rise in speculative trading in index derivatives
SEBI proposed raising the minimum contract size for index derivatives and limiting weekly index product offerings to restrict risky speculation among retail investors. The regulator also plans to mandate upfront premium collection and increase margins on options. These measures aim to reduce speculative trading and bring down derivatives market turnover.
Options trading strategy for Nifty & Bank Nifty for this week
The price structure of Nifty is forward an upward-sloping channel for which the range at present is 22,900 – 22,000. The prices are just a tad around its March ATH of 22,500. It would be interesting to see if its prices can sustain this level in the next one or two days and revert to upside momentum, or if we are in for further correction to lower levels of 22,240 – 22,100.
JSW Steel: Sideways
JSW Steel’s daily trend is sideways. The RSI for monthly, weekly and daily are showing sideways momentum. Based on option chain analysis, the range is between 800 and 900. Let’s plan a trade around this.
This metal is expected to move in the bearish zone!
Since June 2022 Aluminium price has failed to surpass the hurdle of 220. After bouncing from the lows of 187 posted in September price made a valiant attempt at 220. In this journey, the price has formed a couple of bearish chart patterns that suggest further downside.
Nifty and Nifty Bank option trading strategy for November series
Nifty rollovers seen at 76% this series, in line with the previous month, but below the 3 months average, and as per option chain analysis the monthly expiry PE writers are active at 17000CE - overall 60 thousand contracts, followed by 17500PE - highest fresh additions of 8 thousand contracts seen. CE writers make their way at 18000CE/19000/19500 strikes - overall over 30 thousand contracts each, with max fresh exposure seen at 19500CE as well.
Nifty Strategy Desk: Option plus trade for Wednesday
In Tuesday trading session, NIFTY lost 1.4 percent, thereby increasing volatility. We are assuming volatility will increase further and hence long Vega trade for the Nifty is what trader may look at taking in near term, along with suggested adjustment levels.
Trade setup: Broader indices may outperform mkt; but keep overall exposures modest
As we approach weekly options expiry, the session will stay dominated by the expiry-influenced activities
Beaten down sectors may get traction next week, but weakness in banks to continue
Realty and IT stocks were the darlings of investors throughout the week. A plunging rupee and stellar numbers from Accenture have made IT stocks more attractive while real estate sectors are in a structural rally.
Trade Setup: Nifty to remain range-bound; 18500 level may act as key resistance point
There are possibilities of Nifty50 trying to get some stability after two days of wide-ranging moves. The levels of 18290 and 18335 are likely to act as resistance. The supports are likely to come in at 18200 and 18165.
Trade Setup: Nifty may not see any major downside; stick to defensive stocks
The weekly Options data throw up interesting insights. It suggests that Nifty may not see any major downside. Despite sharp profit-taking bouts at higher levels, 16,200 strike saw the highest amount of Put OI addition to the tune of 1.4 million shares.
Trade Setup: Nifty has to top 15,900 level to get aggressive again
Pattern analysis showed Nifty has once again attempted to test and move past the crucial resistance in the 15,850-15,900 zone.
Trade setup: Nifty up move appears stalled; protect profit at higher levels
We enter the penultimate day of derivatives expiry for the current month. This and the routine weekly or monthly expiry of the options will also continue to affect the trend.
Trade setup: Nifty key resistance seen at 15,300 and 15,245 levels; stay highly stock-specific
While a stable start to Tuesday is expected, the level of 15,245 and 15,300 will act as resistance points. The supports will come in at 15,150 and 15,030 levels.
Trade setup: Continue to chase the Nifty up moves cautiously
Long periods of low volatility also reflect complacency of market participants. This may lead to an increase in volatility going ahead and one would need to guard against it.
Trade Setup: Nifty may consolidate near 15K; chase momentum judiciously
Friday's session is likely to have a tepid start to the day. The levels of 14,950 and 15,030 will act as strong resistance points while supports would come in at 14,810 and 14,770.
Nifty's behaviour against 14,800 level crucial; defensives to show strong performance
The pattern analysis shows that the Nifty is trying to not only move past the 50-DMA, but also from the falling channel that it has formed over the past couple of weeks.
Trade setup: 100 DMA key; Nifty to stay rangebound amid weekly options expiry
On Thursday, Nifty is likely to face resistance at 10,185 and 10,230 levels.
Trade setup: Nifty50 may stage a pullback; outlook is still bearish
As of now, the 50-DMA at the 12,104 level has been acting as a support on a closing basis.
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