NIFTY MARKET ANALYSIS
Time-based analysis signals Sept 10 as high-momentum date, Harshubh Shah
After a sharp 2% fall in the previous week, the markets staged a strong comeback. The rebound was supported by better-than-expected GDP data and the GST Council’s move to simplify the tax structure into dual slabs of 5% and 18%, which lifted investor sentiment.
Stock picks of the week: 6 stocks with consistent score improvement and return potential of up to 35% in 1 year
For the next few months, before you take any buy-sell decision on the stock market, ask yourself this question. How is the Nifty’s movement impacting the bottom line of a company whose stock you are planning to buy-sell? The answer will help you avoid making wrong decisions. Now, why is there a high probability of making a wrong decision? Simple: News flows and statements from the US administration will create confusion in the short term. So, check out the stock you are targeting carefully.
Will GST revamp drive lasting gains or just short-term spurts in markets?
Indian stock indices closed slightly higher on Thursday. Early gains, driven by GST changes, faded as investors booked profits. Consumer goods and auto shares initially rose but later declined. The Nifty and Sensex saw marginal increases. Mahindra & Mahindra was a top gainer. Investors are awaiting stronger demand signals. Foreign investors were net sellers, while domestic investors bought shares.
FIIs dump Rs 60,000 crore of India's crown jewels in brutal 2-month rout. What’s wrong?
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have aggressively sold off Indian financial and IT stocks, withdrawing over Rs 60,000 crore in two months due to concerns about earnings recovery and global economic headwinds. This selloff extends beyond these sectors, impacting oil and gas, power, and consumer goods. Despite this, some experts remain optimistic about India's long-term growth potential.
Think beyond the market’s GST rationalisation theme: 5 large-cap stocks from different sectors with an upside potential of up to 26%
There are short term themes which play in the market and then there are some stories which are long-term and structural in nature. So, if you are looking to invest from a perspective of more than the medium term, which is surely more than two years or so, ensure that, while you allocate some money to the theme of the street, you put a large part of the money in stocks where the operating matrix is such that the runaway of growth is much bigger and larger.
F&O Radar | Deploy Bull Call Ratio Spread in Nifty to play potential index bounce back
Nifty held above 24,347, supported by strong GDP data and GST optimism. PCR at 1.26 indicates short-term support near 24,500, resistance at 25,000. Bull Call Ratio Spread suggested to capture upside, while Nifty Bank shows potential bounce toward 54,500–55,000. Call unwinding signals further momentum.
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Explained: How PM Modi's Rs 48,000 crore GST gift impacts stock market investors
Prime Minister Modi's GST reforms, carrying ₹48,000 crore revenue implications, have sparked a market rally. The simplification of GST architecture, with rate reductions, is expected to boost consumption across sectors like automobiles and FMCG. Analysts project a significant GDP growth and increased corporate earnings, making investors optimistic about sustained market gains.
Is your stock portfolio ready for GST 2.0? Council meeting may rewrite market playbook
The GST Council meeting is anticipated to bring significant reforms, potentially boosting sectors like autos, consumer durables, and discretionary consumption. Analysts predict that a GST rate cut of 7-10% could lead to price reductions, spurring demand. Experts believe these reforms could trigger a strong consumption upcycle, especially benefiting lower-income households and driving growth in various sectors. Stock market investors are rejigging portfolios accordingly.
F&O Radar | Deploy Bull Call Spread in Nifty to gain from positive to rangebound view on the index
On Tuesday, the Nifty index initially gained but later declined, closing with losses. It formed a bearish candle on the daily chart. Chandan Taparia suggests Nifty needs to hold above 24,442 for an upward move. Key support levels are at 24,442 and 24,350. Option data indicates a trading range between 24,100 and 25,100. Market is expected to be positive-to-volatile.
These 9 banking stocks can give up to 32% returns in 1 year, according to analysts
When it comes to banking sector stocks, learn to deal with two opposite views on the street. Over the next few months, you will hear news of how bank margins have come under pressure. Ignore those headlines, Why? The fact is that, whenever the interest rate cycle turns down, there is a phase when banks see some margin compression. So it is a cyclical phenomenon, and does not change the macro story about why banks should be a part of your portfolio. And the macro story is that banks are the best play when it comes to the growth of the Indian economy.
Time to look again, but make a distinction: 11 FMCG stocks which can give from just 1% to 22% returns in 1 year
It is after quite some time that FMCG stocks are in greenish territory. This is not only because they are seen as defensive stocks during a correction, but also because some green shoots are visible in terms of their real business thanks to the good monsoon this year. Adding to the positive bias is the GST rate rationalisation that is likely to happen soon. But that is where one needs to be more cautious. In terms of the GST rate move, don’t paint every FMCG stock with the same brush.
Engineering sector: Short-term headwinds, yes, but long-term story is intact: 5 engineering stocks with upside potential of up to 34%
Here’s a truism: Structural improvements in a sector are far more important for long-term investing than current market sentiment or short-term headwinds even if they are business headwinds. Now, there are several sectors that have seen structural improvements in the last few years, but are now facing short-term headwinds. This is not unusual as that’s how sectoral cycles play out. As investors, it is important to understand the reasons for the current headwinds, keeping in mind that these sectors have changed structurally, and for the good. It is structural changes which lead to sustained changes in the valuation given to a particular sector.
What's triggering underperformance of most mid-cap mutual funds and what should you do now?
Only 18% of actively managed mid-cap funds now outperform their benchmarks, down from 65% as of 2019. Is it time to go passive?
Top Nifty50 stocks analysts suggest buying in this volatile week
Stock Reports Plus, powered by Refinitiv, is a comprehensive research report that evaluates five key components of 4,000+ listed stocks – earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum – to generate standardized scores. The simple average of the above-mentioned five component ratings is normally distributed to reach an average score.
Consumer stocks may offer silver lining amid Nifty low
Despite global uncertainties impacting the Nifty, the consumption sector shows promise, fueled by anticipated GST slab changes. Analysts highlight Colgate-Palmolive, CG Power, and Voltas as potential bullish bets, while KFin Technologies and AU Small Fin Bank are viewed bearishly. Technical analysis suggests specific entry and exit points for traders.
A breakdown below 24,350 may intensify selling in Nifty: Analysts
Nifty 50 is expected to experience volatility in the coming week. Technical indicators suggest potential weakness. Analysts have identified critical support levels. Consumption-driven sectors show strength. Caution is advised for banks, IT, PSUs, and realty. Axis Securities suggests a Put Spread strategy for Nifty options expiring on September 2. Hero MotoCorp and Britannia are among stocks to consider.
September seasonality favours bears: Nifty down 6 of last 10 years; where to invest now?
Nifty seasonality in September has leaned bearish, slipping in six of the past ten years as FII selling weighed on sentiment. Despite steady DII buying in September, volatility persists. Historical performance highlights sector rotation, with a cautious technical view guiding investment strategy for the month. Based on rollover data from August, potential outperforming sectors in the September Series could include automobiles, consumer durables, and FMCG.
Portfolio Check: Equity mutual funds shed up to 4% in August. Are any of these part of your portfolio?
Equity mutual funds faced a challenging August, with 229 out of 293 funds posting negative returns, led by Samco Flexi Cap Fund (-3.8%) and Motilal Oswal ELSS Tax Saver Fund (-3.47%). Small-cap and mid-cap funds bore the brunt, while select flexi-cap and ELSS funds delivered modest gains.
Nifty, Bank Nifty may slide further as short positions roll over, warns Rajesh Palviya
Rajesh Palviya of Axis Securities cautions that rollover trends and technical signals point to continued weakness in Nifty and Bank Nifty. With FIIs adding shorts and both indices below their 200-DMA, he expects further downside unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
F&O Talk| Nifty ends August lower amid global headwinds; key support now at 24,250: Sudeep Shah
Indian markets ended the truncated week in red as U.S. tariff concerns weighed on sentiment, erasing prior gains. Nifty and Bank Nifty showed bearish signals, with key EMA levels under pressure, while rollover data indicated cautious optimism despite weak banking sector performance.
Fallout of US’ 50% tariff on India: Cowboy moves lasso Indian bulls
Indian stock markets faced a downturn due to Donald Trump's tariffs and concerns over additional tariffs on Indian goods, leading to losses in key indices. Investors are hopeful that the upcoming GST Council meeting and potential tax slab reforms will boost domestic consumption and revive market sentiment.
Bank Nifty’s oversold zone could trigger sharp pullback: Nilesh Jain
After underperforming, Bank Nifty showed signs of recovery, sparking hopes for a market bounce. Nilesh Jain highlighted support at 53,800, with potential upside to 55,500, while also recommending Finolex Industries and Cummins India as stock-specific opportunities amid cautious Nifty trends.
Market volatility likely to persist, watch Nifty's 24,600 level for direction: Rahul Sharma
Indian markets traded lower on Thursday amid ongoing volatility and monthly expiry pressures. Analyst Rahul Sharma flagged Nifty’s 24,600 level as key, noting that selling on rises could continue. Bank Nifty may see short covering if key levels hold.
Over 100 equity mutual funds offer market beating returns in 1 year. Should you chase them for investing?
Many equity mutual funds outperformed market benchmarks like Nifty50 and Sensex in the last year. Experts suggest investors focus on consistent performance across market cycles instead of chasing short-term gains. SIPs or STPs are recommended due to current market levels. Diversified equity funds are favored for stability. Investors should align investments with their risk profile and financial goals.
Petrol margins soar above Rs 11 per litre. Should you buy oil marketing company stocks now?
Indian fuel retailers are currently enjoying substantial marketing margins on petrol and diesel, driven by low crude oil prices. Brokerages are recommending buy ratings for oil marketing companies like BPCL and IOCL, anticipating strong earnings for FY26.
Top Nifty50 stocks analysts suggest buying in this volatile week
Stock Reports Plus, powered by Refinitiv, is a comprehensive research report that evaluates five key components of 4,000+ listed stocks – earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum – to generate standardized scores. The simple average of the above-mentioned five component ratings is normally distributed to reach an average score.
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