Time-based analysis signals Sept 10 as high-momentum date, Harshubh Shah

After a sharp 2% fall in the previous week, the markets staged a strong comeback. The rebound was supported by better-than-expected GDP data and the GST Council’s move to simplify the tax structure into dual slabs of 5% and 18%, which lifted investor sentiment.

The Nifty50 gained over 1% in the week ended September 5, closing firmly above the 100-day EMA, a key technical support. Broader markets also extended their momentum, with the Midcap and Smallcap indices advancing 2–3%, underlining continued strong participation beyond frontline stocks.

Foreign investors, however, remained cautious. FIIs continued to be net cash sellers, offloading equities worth ₹4,361.99 crore between September 1 and September 4, 2025.

Volatility played out as expected

In last week’s note, we highlighted September 5 as a potential turning point — and the market did not disappoint. Nifty was highly volatile, witnessing a sharp 150-point fall within just 15 minutes around 10:00 AM. Such moves highlight why traders must stay cautious on time-sensitive dates.

Interestingly, our specific intraday marker of 12:25 PM on September 5 also proved accurate, with the day’s low being formed around this time. This further validates the precision of time-based analysis in navigating market volatility.

Nifty Key Levels (Sept 8–12, 2025)

Traders should track the following support and resistance zones closely, as price reactions here will dictate whether the index extends its uptrend or faces fresh reversals:

Support: 24,676 · 24,540 · 24,480 · 24,445 · 24,382 · 24,331 · 24,140

Resistance: 24,806 · 24,856 · 24,987 · 25,083 · 25,145 · 25,322 · 25,435

High-Probability Intraday Time Clusters

(Sept 8–12, 2025)

Mon, Sept 8: 10:20 AM · 11:15 AM · 2:25 PM

Tue, Sept 9: 1:20 PM · 2:20 PM

Wed, Sept 10: 10:20 AM · 11:20 AM · 12:25 PM

Thu, Sept 11: 10:00 AM · 11:00 AM · 2:10 PM

Fri, Sept 12: 10:05 AM · 12:45 PM · 2:20 PM

Trading Outlook

September 10 (+/–1 day) stands out as a high-probability window for momentum-driven moves.

Traders are advised to remain vigilant around the listed intraday time windows, as these often coincide with swing highs, lows, or trend reversals.

(The author is Director, Wealthview Analytics Pvt Ltd. SEBI Registration – INH000009676)

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